Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.169950 1.326594 1.497513 1.698030 1.927056 2.180754 2.483458
2026-01-25 0.904908 1.112220 1.358218 1.672413 2.064184 2.538055 3.156949
2026-02-01 0.744996 0.968584 1.249919 1.631437 2.137732 2.789895 3.699058
2026-02-08 0.630037 0.856775 1.155816 1.581437 2.175547 2.981143 4.166030
2026-02-15 0.564363 0.797992 1.118992 1.595601 2.291093 3.277872 4.799953
2026-02-22 0.505412 0.739587 1.073158 1.587330 2.367856 3.521007 5.377288
2026-03-01 0.453640 0.684631 1.024536 1.566523 2.419302 3.726511 5.914644
2026-03-08 0.398810 0.618722 0.951884 1.499547 2.389575 3.800170 6.246729
2026-03-15 0.366709 0.584153 0.922905 1.496318 2.457735 4.031506 6.856971
2026-03-22 0.351734 0.574903 0.932173 1.554527 2.630458 4.448600 7.826098
2026-03-29 0.325132 0.543915 0.902894 1.544705 2.685619 4.670329 8.474257
2026-04-05 0.306247 0.523944 0.889750 1.560474 2.785524 4.977742 9.309786
2026-04-12 0.282009 0.495411 0.864227 1.560979 2.875190 5.307582 10.293201
2026-04-19 0.255942 0.461615 0.827179 1.538743 2.924940 5.579120 11.224123
2026-04-26 0.231099 0.427188 0.784985 1.501250 2.939686 5.783603 12.047889
2026-05-03 0.208298 0.394035 0.741404 1.455445 2.931243 5.939105 12.789326
2026-05-10 0.195261 0.378052 0.728511 1.468422 3.042895 6.352550 14.151023
2026-05-17 0.181276 0.358705 0.706919 1.460844 3.109906 6.679324 15.366542
2026-05-24 0.167549 0.338450 0.681356 1.441780 3.149259 6.949954 16.491638
2026-05-31 0.151116 0.311027 0.638403 1.380408 3.086949 6.984168 17.051351
2026-06-07 0.141711 0.297393 0.622843 1.377449 3.156946 7.331255 18.442131
2026-06-14 0.137947 0.295419 0.631876 1.430789 3.364892 8.031723 20.852665
2026-06-21 0.129365 0.282083 0.614793 1.421789 3.421959 8.372084 22.364413